Sumários

Lecture 3

3 Março 2022, 09:00 • Rui Paulo

Model for binary data: continuation. Prediction and confidence intervals. HPD regions.

Poisson data: sufficient statistics, conjugate prior, posterior under a gamma prior, properties.

Lecture 2

24 Fevereiro 2022, 09:00 • Rui Paulo

Review of basic concepts of probability: joint, marginal and conditional densities. Independence a conditional independence.

One-parameter models: the binomial model. Exchangeability and de Finetti's theorem. Sufficiency and Bayesian sufficiency. Inference for exchangeable binary data under a beta prior.

Lecture 1

17 Fevereiro 2022, 09:00 • Rui Paulo

Practical aspects of the course.

Basics of Bayesian inference. Examples.