Sumários
Martingales in discrete time
1 Março 2017, 09:00 • João Guerra
Filtrations.
Martingales in discrete time. Definition, basic properties and examples.
The martingale transform or the stochastic integral in discrete time.
Martingales and fair games.
An example: the doubling bet strategy in a game.
Stochastic processes; conditional expectation.
24 Fevereiro 2017, 09:00 • João Guerra
Different concepts of equivalence between stochastic processes. Example.
Different concepts of continuity for stochastic processes. Example.
The Kolmogorov continuity criterion for the continuity of trajectories of a stochastic process.
Conditional Expectation. Definition and basic properties.
Interpretation of the conditional expectation as the orthogonal projection of a random variable in L^2 into a subspace of L^2.
Introduction
22 Fevereiro 2017, 09:00 • João Guerra
Presentation of the course. Syllabus, bibliography and assessment.
What is stochastic calculus? Main topics and a very brief history of stochastic calculus.
Stochastic processes: basic definitions and examples.