I.        Statistical Concepts, Distributions and Statistical Inference

§  Standard descriptive statistics

§  Some important statistical distributions: Distributions of returns

§  Histograms and QQ-plots

§  Interval estimation

§  Hypothesis testing

§  Covariance and correlation analysis

§  Applications and examples with EViews and Excel

 

II.    Regression Analysis

§  Simple linear regression: specification, estimation and statistical inference

§  Multiple linear regression: specification, estimation and statistical inference

§  Dummy variable regression models

§  Relaxing the regression assumptions: multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation

§  Specification errors and diagnostic testing

§  Applications and examples with EViews and Excel

 

III.                 Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

§  Introduction to time series: trends, cycles, seasonality, and noise

§  Forecasting evaluation, training and test samples

§  Stationarity, autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation

§  White noise, moving average (MA) model and autoregressive (AR) model

§  Non-seasonal and seasonal ARMA models

§  Nonstationary time series and unit root tests

§  ARIMA and SARIMA models

§  Identification, estimation, diagnostic checking, selection and forecasting

§  Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) models

§  Applications and examples with EViews and Excel

 

Anexos