Programa

Scenarios and Strategic Foresight

Licenciatura Bolonha em Economia

Licenciatura Bolonha em Economics

Licenciatura Bolonha em Finanças

Licenciatura Bolonha em Finance

Licenciatura Bolonha em Gestão

Licenciatura Bolonha em Management

Licenciatura Bolonha em Matemática Aplicada à Economia e à Gestão

Programa

1. Foresight, Horizon Scanning and Scenarios: origins, principles and key concepts. - The Foresight concept. Forecasting versus Foresight. - Strategic Foresight: principles, objectives and schools of thought. - Uncertainty management and organizational learning: the essential role of Foresight in Strategy. 2. Horizon scanning, trends, megatrends uncertainties, wild cards and weak signals. - Key concepts in action (hands-on simulation). 3. Foresight, Horizon Scanning and Scenarios: methodological toolbox. - Techniques and tools for creativity and innovation. - Techniques and tools for the identification and analysis of key factors. - Techniques and tools for the identification and analysis of key actors. 4. Developing Scenarios. Scenarios as the main Foresight tool. - Scenarios: concept, process and methodological characteristics. - The Intuitive Logics School of Scenario Building (?the Shell School?). Hands-on simulation. - Other Scenario Planning schools. - Michael Porter?s Industry Scenarios. - The Probabilistic Modified Trends School. - La Prospective (the French Foresight School) and Morphological Analysis. Hands-on simulation. 5. From scenarios to organizational outputs. From anticipation to strategy / from anticipation to action. - Implicationsandoptions. - Exploring Scenarios using different Strategy tools. Hands on simulation. 6. Designing and leading Foresight and Scenario Planning processes.