Programa

Scenarios and Strategic Foresight

Licenciatura Bolonha em Finance

Licenciatura Bolonha em Economics

Licenciatura Bolonha em Management

Licenciatura Bolonha em Finanças

Licenciatura Bolonha em Matemática Aplicada à Economia e à Gestão

Licenciatura Bolonha em Gestão

Licenciatura Bolonha em Economia

Programa

1. Foresight, Horizon Scanning and Scenarios: origins, principles and key concepts. - The Foresight concept. Forecasting versus Foresight. - Strategic Foresight: principles, objectives and schools of thought. - Uncertainty management and organizational learning: the essential role of Foresight in Strategy. 2. Horizon scanning, trends, megatrends uncertainties, wild cards and weak signals. - Key concepts in action (hands-on simulation). 3. Foresight, Horizon Scanning and Scenarios: methodological toolbox. - Techniques and tools for creativity and innovation. - Techniques and tools for the identification and analysis of key factors. - Techniques and tools for the identification and analysis of key actors. 4. Developing Scenarios. Scenarios as the main Foresight tool. - Scenarios: concept, process and methodological characteristics. - The Intuitive Logics School of Scenario Building (?the Shell School?). Hands-on simulation. - Other Scenario Planning schools. - Michael Porter?s Industry Scenarios. - The Probabilistic Modified Trends School. - La Prospective (the French Foresight School) and Morphological Analysis. Hands-on simulation. 5. From scenarios to organizational outputs. From anticipation to strategy / from anticipation to action. - Implicationsandoptions. - Exploring Scenarios using different Strategy tools. Hands on simulation. 6. Designing and leading Foresight and Scenario Planning processes.