Sumários
Lecture 3
2 Março 2023, 09:00 • Rui Paulo
The binomial model: prediction and confidence intervals.
The Poisson model: conjugate prior. Posterior mean and interpretation of the parameters of the prior.
Lecture 2
23 Fevereiro 2023, 09:00 • Rui Paulo
One-parameter models: the binomial model.
Exchangeability and conditional independence. De Finetti's theorem.
Inference under a uniform prior. Sufficiency and Bayesian sufficiency.
Inference under a beta prior. Conjugacy. Posterior mean combining sampling and prior information.
Lecture 1
16 Fevereiro 2023, 09:00 • Rui Paulo
Practical aspects of the course.
Bayesian statistics: main ideas, example.