Sumários

Class 20

27 Novembro 2017, 16:30 MARIA DE LURDES CARAÇAS CENTENO

8. CONTINUOUS TIME HOMOGENEOUS MARKOV CHAINS

8.1. Introduction: time homogeneous Markov process; Chapman-Kolmogorov equations

8.2. The transition probability matrix

8.3. The forward and backward differential equations

8.4.  Holding times

 

 


Class 19

22 Novembro 2017, 11:00 MARIA DE LURDES CARAÇAS CENTENO

7.4. The non-homogeneous Poisson process

7.5.   The mixed Poisson process; the Polya process

 


Class 18

20 Novembro 2017, 16:30 MARIA DE LURDES CARAÇAS CENTENO

7. INTRODUCTION TO COUNTING PROCESSES

7.1. Some definitions: counting process, Markov counting process, birth process - the homogeneous and the non-homogeneous processes

7.2. The homogeneous Poisson process: its genesis, discussion of the postulates

7.3.   The homogeneous Poisson process: the gamma, the binomial and the uniform

 


Class 17

15 Novembro 2017, 11:00 MARIA DE LURDES CARAÇAS CENTENO

 Exercises


Class 16

13 Novembro 2017, 16:30 MARIA DE LURDES CARAÇAS CENTENO

6.5. Limit Behaviour

6.6. Applications to no claim discount and bonus-malus systems